Wild Science – Pushing the boundaries of understanding

Here is a science article from MIT Technology Review that is not just reporting a discovery, but instead is exploring beyond what we know and understand. I’ve a few things to say, but first the article …

Time Likely To End Within Earth’s Lifespan

There is a 50 per cent chance that time will end within the next 3.7 billion years, according to a new model of the universe

Look out into space and the signs are plain to see. The universe began in a Big Bang event some 13 billion years ago and has been expanding ever since. And the best evidence from the distance reaches of the cosmos is that this expansion is accelerating.

That has an important but unavoidable consequence: it means the universe will expand forever. And a universe that expands forever is infinite and eternal.

Today, a group of physicists rebel against this idea. They say an infinitely expanding universe cannot be so because the laws of physics do not work in an infinite cosmos. For these laws to make any sense, the universe must end, say Raphael Bousso at the University of California, Berkeley and few pals. And they have calculated when that is most likely to happen.

Their argument is deceptively simple and surprisingly powerful. Here’s how it goes. If the universe lasts forever, then any event that can happen, will happen, no matter how unlikely. In fact, this event will happen an infinite number of times.

This leads to a problem. When there are an infinite number of instances of every possible observation, it becomes impossible to determine the probabilities of any of these events occurring. And when that happens, the laws of physics simply don’t apply. They just break down. “This is known as the “measure problem” of eternal inflation,” say Bousso and buddies.

In effect, these guys are saying that the laws of physics abhor an eternal universe.

The only way out of this conundrum is to hypothesise some kind of catastrophe that brings an end to the universe. Then all the probabilities make sense again and the laws of physics regain their power.

When might his be? Bousso and co have crunched the numbers. “Time is unlikely to end in our lifetime, but there is a 50% chance that time will end within the next 3.7 billion years,” they say.

That’s not so long! It means that the end of the time is likely to happen within the lifetime of the Earth and the Sun.

But Buosso and co have some comforting news too. They don’t know what kind of catastrophe will cause the end of time but they do say that we won’t see it coming. They point out that if we were to observe the end of time in any other part of the universe we would have to be causally ahead of it, which is unlikely.

In other words we’ll run headlong into this catastrophe before we can observe its effects on anything else.

MIT Technology Review: Continue reading …

Its not only a wild idea but is also outrageously fascinating. Here we have a great example of the manner in which science does not stand still, but instead ambitious thinkers will attempt to push the boundary and probe the unknown. Its all about gathering data, speculating about what it might imply by forming a hypothesis, then testing to see if it stands or falls. From that we get more data, and so our understanding grows. Is the above article correct? I simply don’t know, but its an interesting idea. If others come along and pull it apart with a detailed explanation, will the author be offended, or discard the newer evidence and cling to the above as an act of faith? Of course not, they will instead discard the dis-proven hypothesis, embrace newer thinking and proceed to run with that instead. Science is not about being right or wrong, but is instead a joint effort to explore.

In stark contrast, belief generally stands still and does not change very much. Challenge a belief with facts that contradict it and you quickly meet resistance, many believers will not accept reality but prefer to embrace the fairy tale.

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Bible questions … How well did the Atheists do?

Details of a US religious knowledge survey has been published and the results are quite surprising. The US has a reputation for being quite religious, yet despite this, the depth of bible knowledge demonstrated is quite low. The questions were not too hard, here is a quick sample

  • What is the first book of the Bible?
  • Name the first four books of the New Testament
  • Where, according to the Bible, was Jesus born?

But its not just about the Bible, they included questions about other beliefs such as …

  • When was the Mormon religion founded? (They were not looking for a precise date, choices such as pre 1800 or post 1800 were suggested)
  • The Dalai Lama is …Catholic, Jewish, Buddhist, Mormon, Hindu
  • In which religion are Vishnu and Shiva (SHEE-va) central figures?

OK, I think you get the idea. These are not challenging questions, so what results did they come up with? Well, what is quite interesting is that they included a lot of questions to precisely identify the beliefs of those that answered, so they are able to give an accurate breakdown of how followers of the various beliefs scored.

On average, Americans correctly answer 16 of the 32 religious knowledge questions on the survey by the Pew Research Center’s Forum on Religion & Public Life. Jews and Mormons do well, averaging 20.5 and 20.3 correct answers, respectively. Protestants as a whole average 16 correct answers; Catholics as a whole, 14.7.

However, there is one group that stands out as the most knowledgeable, and did far better than any of the above … and that was …

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God’s Bigmouths – Christopher Hitchens

Fabulous article in Slate by Christopher Hitchens on the Bishop Eddie Long scandal … Passing through Union Station in Washington, D.C., last week, I made my usual nod to the statue of A. Phillip Randolph. You can miss it if you are not looking for it, and it has been allowed to suffer defacement. (The … Read more

A rather unchristian school admissions policy?

The Guardian (as usual) has a rather good article today by Sharon Wright, who writes about her experience as a governor in a church school. Initially, she was (obviously) in favor, but what she found soon converted her into a radical opponent of faith schools. Why is this an important issue? Well basically because its … Read more

Catholics – What happens next?

So the popes UK visit is done now and he is on his way back home. The Churches PR machine has declared victory and life will go on. But were any of the deep concerns addressed? Tragically no. Yes, he did indeed do the “I’m so terribly and deeply ashamed for the abuse” speech … … Read more

The pope’s entire career has the stench of evil about it. – By Christopher Hitchens – Slate Magazine

In honor of the Popes visit to the UK at the moment, I’m re-printing Christopher Hitchers insightful Slate article about him that was published last March.

Right now there appears to be a lot of PR spin going on … people appear to have forgotten who he really is and what he really represents, so I felt it appropriate to publish this as a brief reminder. This is not about “Catholic Hate”, but rather is about the fact that justice is being ignored. This individual who has done so much damage to so many lives appears to be above the law. Hideous crimes have been committed, and he has conspired to cover it all up and protect the abusers, yet because he is the leader of a powerful religious institution, many are choosing to forget. Hence the need for this little reminder

The Great Catholic Cover-Up

The pope’s entire career has the stench of evil about it.

By Christopher HitchensPosted Monday, March 15, 2010, at 10:20 AM ET

Pope Benedict XVI. Click image to expand.On March 10, the chief exorcist of the Vatican, the Rev. Gabriele Amorth (who has held this demanding post for 25 years), was quoted as saying that “the Devil is at work inside the Vatican,” and that “when one speaks of ‘the smoke of Satan’ in the holy rooms, it is all true—including these latest stories of violence and pedophilia.” This can perhaps be taken as confirmation that something horrible has indeed been going on in the holy precincts, though most inquiries show it to have a perfectly good material explanation.

Concerning the most recent revelations about the steady complicity of the Vatican in the ongoing—indeed endless—scandal of child rape, a few days later a spokesman for the Holy See made a concession in the guise of a denial. It was clear, said the Rev. Federico Lombardi, that an attempt was being made “to find elements to involve the Holy Father personally in issues of abuse.” He stupidly went on to say that “those efforts have failed.”

He was wrong twice. In the first place, nobody has had to strive to find such evidence: It has surfaced, as it was bound to do. In the second place, this extension of the awful scandal to the topmost level of the Roman Catholic Church is a process that has only just begun. Yet it became in a sense inevitable when the College of Cardinals elected, as the vicar of Christ on Earth, the man chiefly responsible for the original cover-up. (One of the sanctified voters in that “election” was Cardinal Bernard Law of Boston, a man who had already found the jurisdiction of Massachusetts a bit too warm for his liking.)

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